Keeping it
in the Clan: Somaliland’s
Tribal Turn under Silanyo
President Ahmed Mahamoud Silanyo of Somaliland, the
self-declared sovereign state in northern Somalia, came
to power in July 2010 after routing the UDUB government
of Dah ir Riyale Kahin in elections.
Silanyo and his Kulmiye party ran a campaign that was
slick, energetic and media-savvy. Capitalising upon the
fatigue of the Riyale administration that had been in
office for eigh t years and had largely run out of new
ideas, Kulmiye promised the people of Somaliland a
government that was modern in approach, modest in
number, professional in executio n, and meritocratic in
the selection of its office holders.
However, underneath the slick presentation and ‘promise
everyone everything’ approa ch to securing support, the Kulmiye electoral campaign was characterised by a dark
und erbelly of naked tribalism. While a certain level of
tribal politicking is inevitable in a socie ty where the
principal social cleavage is the clan or sub-clan, the
2010 Kulmiye election campaign was easily the most
‘tribal’ experienced in Somaliland since the country
recov ered its de-facto sovereignty in 1991.
This fact, and the Kulmiye government’s role in
elevating the primacy of the ‘tribal’ impe rative in
politics since the election, is evidenced by the
plethora of clan meetings, or shir beleed, that have
been held, and are being held, by different clans and
sub-clans since 2011. This practice, whereby individual
clans or sub-clans hold meetings to discuss their
political and social interests, harks back to the early
1990s and the clan conflicts of that era. Such meetings
had in fact not been a feature of Somaliland politics
since the democr atic constitution was enacted in 1997
inaugurating the era of party politics, and the decl ine
of the shir beleed had been seen by many as an indicator
of the growing maturity of the Somaliland polity.
Keeping it in the clan: the Kulmiye kitchen clique
Immediately after taking office, there coalesced around
President Silanyo a coterie of re latives/kinsmen, mainly
comprising young diaspora expatriates, that controlled
access to him. Even many senior cabinet members soon
found that in order to gain access to Silanyo, they had
to navigate a maze of officials and assorted relations,
often with little success. Conversely, those in the
‘charmed circle’ – whether businessmen, government
officials or ordinary people – could gain access at the
drop of a hat.
It is common for heads of government to gather around
them a small group of trusted advisors to debate
sensitive policy issues. But the Somaliland clique is
not a ‘kitchen cab inet' of colleagues discussing policy;
rather it is the operation of a narrow ruling cli que
that has abrogated to itself all executive power and
authority. The fact that this clique is characterised in
the main by blood and familial ties to the president and
his family acc entuates its exclusive and impenetrable
nature.
Soon after taking office, the Kulmiye government also
wished to nullify political oppositio n to its rule. UDUB,
the former ruling party, engineered its own collapse
through internal struggles in the wake of its electoral
defeat.
The other national party, UCID, also emerged from the
election in disarray. Its leader, th e mercurial Faisal
Ali Warabe, reneged on his pledge before the elections
to step down if UCID were defeated at the polls. This
inevitably angered many party stalwarts. And seizi ng
upon these divisions, the Kulmiye government fomented a
split within UCID by encou raging a leadership challenge
by a disaffected group led by the Deputy Chairman of the
party and Speaker of Parliament, Abdirahman Mohammed
Abdullahi Cirro. This support even went as far as
allowing Cirro’s group to storm the central offices of
the party in Ha rgeisa and lock out the group loyal to
Faisal, the party’s founder.
The fractious dispute between the two factions of UCID
ended up in court which ruled that the Cirro group could
not simply oust Faisal without holding a party
conference. In the end, the Cirro faction left UCID and
formed a new opposition party called WADANI, which has
distinguished itself by not opposing the Kulmiye
government, and instead being supportive of many of its
most controversial policies.
Eradicating internal enemies
With UDUB and UCID thus eradicated as a credible
political opposition, the Kulmiye gover nment set about
removing those elements within the ruling party that
could present an obstacle to the unquestioned supremacy
of Silanyo. These elements most significantly comprised
of the political heavyweights Mohamed Abdi Gabose, the
Interior Minister, Mohamed Hashi Elmi, the Finance
Minister, and Muse Bihi, the First Deputy Chairman of
Kulmiye. These three figures had been crucial to Kulmiye
winning the election not only because of their tireless
campaigning, but more importantly, because they were
able to deliver their sub-clans for Kulmiye and Silanyo.
Once in government, however, these three figures – all
seasoned political players –were not expected to
acquiesce meekly to actions that could damage their own
political inter ests. Nor were they to take kindly to
being subservient to a group of largely diaspora-s ourced
kinsmen that comprised the clique around the presidency.
The first of the three to see the writing on the wall
and jump ship was Gabose who resig ned in August 2011,
after serving just one year, to establish his own party.
Then, in Ma rch 2012, Elmi was fired after he refused to
back down in a dispute with the Minister of Energy,
Water and Mines.
Bihi was a different kettle of fish. Firstly, although
he was de facto head of the Kulmiye party, he held no
executive position in government and thus posed no
immediate threat to Silanyo. Secondly, before the 2010
election, Silanyo had publicly pledged to endorse Bihi
as Kulmiye’s candidate for president in the next
election, scheduled for 2015, and Bihi was not going to
forego that opportunity easily.
From the beginning of 2011 up to now then, Silanyo and
his clique have employed every tool at their disposal to
induce Bihi to leave Kulmiye. Silanyo has even gone so
far as to announce his support for Abdul-Aziz Samale,
Elmi’s replacement as Finance Minister and a clansman of
both Bihi and Elmi, as Kulmiye’s future nominee for
president at the next election, in contradiction of his
public pledge to Bihi. Yet Bihi refuses to rise to the
bait and continues to bide his time.
An electoral masterstroke
Through various tactics, Kulmiye has thus proven highly
adept at nullifying potential op position, with the
exception of Bihi. But in all this, its perhaps most
masterful move may have been its decision to permit the
establishment of political parties to contest the
mu nicipal elections in November 2012.
Every Tom, Dick and Harriet that harboured presidential
ambitions immediately set about establishing a political
party and announced that, in addition to their party
contesting th e municipal elections, they would be the
future nominees for president of their respectiv e
political parties. Never mind that the presidential
elections were some three years and two elections
(municipal and parliamentary) away!
For a full calendar year then, the people of Somaliland
were subjected to a ‘tribal’ politic al circus wherein
the vain, the deluded and the outright venal jostled and
jousted for me dia attention and their political support.
And since the newly-created parties had no po litical
programmes to speak of and were only established as
vehicles for the political am bitions of their founders,
the appeals for support were inevitably based upon clan
affil iation.
Thus, each clan and sub-clan grouping called for and
held a shir beleed in order to extra ct the greatest
possible concessions from the prospective candidates. Kulmiye was mo re than happy to play this game since they
had the largest war chest in the form of the government
exchequer and unmatched patronage to offer.
The municipal elections of 2012 enjoyed a large turnout
and were peaceful. Nevertheless, there were clear
instances of vote-rigging. Unsurprisingly, Kulmiye won
the elections though their success was vehemently
disputed in various cities and towns such as Hargeisa,
Berbera, Gabiley and Borama where there were large
demonstrations, some of which turned violent and
resulted in civilian and police deaths.
In addition to Kulmiye, UCID and WADANI emerged as the
other two national political parties qualified to
contest the upcoming parliamentary and presidential
elections, while the plethora of other parties and their
presumptive presidential nominees were officially
disqualified and left politically spent.
Breaking the rules of non-engagement
Finally, it is necessary to briefly comment upon the
foreign policy of the Kulmiye govern ment, which has
embarked upon a new approach to foreign affairs,
abandoning two of the guiding principles of Somaliland
foreign policy since 1992. These broken rules are: 1)
not to participate in international meetings convened to
form ‘governments’ in Mogadis hu, or to discuss
reconciliation and the re-establishment of the state in
Somalia, since Somaliland is an independent country and
not part of Somalia; and 2) to only open dial ogue on
matters regarding separation and ‘good neighbour’
relations with a governme nt in Mogadishu that is
legitimate and formed by the people of Somalia through
an open and representative process.
Breaking rule 1), the Kulmiye government attended the
London Somalia Conference org anised by the UK government
in February 2011. Participation at this conference,
which caused a great furore inside Somaliland, resulted
in a decision brokered by the UK gove rnment for
Somaliland and Somalia to commence a dialogue to resolve
their differences – thus leading to the abandonment of
rule 2). In addition, the Kulmiye government also agreed
to attend the international conference for Somalia
convened by Turkey in May 2012.
The first two rounds of talks between Somaliland and
Somalia were undertaken with the Transitional Federal
Government of Sheikh Sharif in London and Dubai
respectively in Ju ne 2012. Though dubbed ‘historic’, all
these talks essentially resulted in were the two sides
agreeing to continue talking.
It can be argued that opening a dialogue with Somalia is
in of itself a positive step. Howe ver, the decision to
commence the dialogue with a lame-duck, transitional
government that had only two months remaining of its
term of office and therefore could not commit to any
substantive agreements did not seem wise or carefully
considered. Further, the decision of the Kulmiye
government to support the candidacy of Sheikh Sharif for
the pr esidency of the new, supposedly permanent
government was not only ill-advised but has proven to be
counter-productive. After all, Sharif lost, and the new
president, Hass an Sheikh Mohamud, has demonstrated his
ire with the Kulmiye government by undermi ning them in a
variety of ways, principal among which has been his
repeated declarati ons affirming the inviolability of
Somalia’s territorial integrity. Mohamud has also several high-profile Somaliland opponents of
the Kulmiye government to his cabinet, in particular
Fowzia Adan as Deputy Prime Minister and Foreign
Minister.
The writing on the wall
After three years of Kulmiye rule in which tribalism has
been given increasing prominenc e and clan politics has
been pushed to the fore, it seems the writing is finally
on the wall for Silanyo and his clique.
The maturity of the people in deciding to wait out
Silanyo’s term rather than engage in mass protests bodes
well for the survival of Somaliland’s experiment in
representative government. And it is likely that Kulmiye
as a political party will eventually suffer the sp lits
and demise that has befallen UDUB and that Kulmiye so
cleverly orchestrated for UCID.
But what does not bode well for the future, however, is
the debasement and coarsening of political debate and
competition that has reverted to the pre-constitution
era of nake d tribalism and the primacy of clan and
sub-clan identity over the national imperative.
By Ahmed M.I. Egal
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